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SMCI.NE
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
9
Certified Regarded
Regard Score: 9/10
$11.53$27.3B market cap

Score Breakdown

🤖AI Rating
6/10

Below average.

💸Valuation
5/10

Negative cash flow. Can't value it.

P/E: 21.9x
P/S: 0.6x
TTM Growth: 0.0%
🔍Filing Risk
9/10

Major red flags in SEC filings.

Overall Risk: 9/10
Fraud Risk: 8/10
Dilution Risk: 7/10
🖨️Dilution
1/10

Buying back shares.

Annual Dilution: 0.0%
🏃Insider Selling
5/10

No data.

Cash Runway
10/10

Running out of money.

Months Left: 2
Cash: $1.3B
🩳Short Interest
1/10

No data.

🤡Management
5/10

No data.

🔍 What's In The SEC Filings

Super Micro Computer, Inc.: Structural Red Flags and Regulatory Heat

The company faces extreme risk due to deep negative operating cash flow, structural dependence on related-party manufacturers, and active federal criminal investigations.

Key Findings
Revenue Quality9/10

Severe Divergence Between Net Income and Operating Cash Flow

Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities ... (-917,523)

The company reported a net income of $168M but burned $917.5M in operating cash. This is largely driven by a $1.087B increase in inventory and a $321M increase in accounts receivable, suggesting potentially aggressive shipping or channel stuffing.

Governance / Insider Dealing10/10

CEO Personal Debt to Supplier's Family

In October 2018, our Chief Executive Officer, Charles Liang, personally borrowed approximately $12.9 million from Chien-Tsun Chang, the spouse of Steve Liang.

The CEO held an unsecured personal loan from the spouse of the CEO of Ablecom (a major related-party supplier). This creates a massive conflict of interest where corporate purchase terms could be influenced by personal debt obligations.

Legal Risk9/10

Active Federal Investigations following Short Seller Allegations

In late 2024, we received subpoenas from the Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission seeking a variety of documents following the publication of a short seller report.

Active DOJ and SEC subpoenas specifically targeting financial results and internal controls indicate a high probability of forensic accounting discoveries or regulatory enforcement actions.

Structural Dependence8/10

Structural Reliance on Related-Party Manufacturers

Ablecom manufactured approximately 96.6% and 96.8% of the chassis purchased by us during the three months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, respectively.

Nearly all critical chassis components are sourced from an entity controlled by the CEO's brother. This allows for potential margin shifting and opaque cost structures that can be used to manipulate earnings.

Impact On Value

Investors should apply a significant 'governance discount' and treat reported net income with skepticism until cash flow from operations aligns with GAAP earnings.

Other Concerns

Management tone in the litigation disclosures is dismissive, yet the number of class-action and derivative lawsuits has ballooned to over ten separate actions within a single year.

🚨
2 months of cash left

At the current burn rate, this company will need to raise money or die.

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